1504796 - Mobile DAU forecasts for 2018 and 2019

Status: RESOLVED FIXED

(Data Science :: General, task)

Description

[Peter Dolanjski [:pdol]]

We are looking for 2 forecasts for our mobile products:
Dec 31st, 2018
Dec 31st, 2019
Using a 28day moving average and a 91day moving average.

The following are the DAU datasources to be used for forecasting for our mobile products.  Note that because these are all coming from the Adjust SDK, Firefox Klar (variant of Focus in Germany and a few other EU countries) is NOT included.  Those datasets are opt-in and therefore likely not as relevant to forecast at this time.

For each link, simply export the RAW CSV in the top right.  PLEASE SELECT THE MAXIMUM DATE RANGE view for each graph before exporting.
I will note the start date to use and any data anomalies that need to be smoothed over.

Firefox Android (Fennec)
Datasource: https://www.mozdatacollective.com/chart/index/index/element/863/segment/1140/baseuco/1617/range_start/1491350400000/range_end/1541116800001/uco/1615
Start Date: June 1, 2016
End Date: October 26, 2018
Data anomalies to remove: None

Firefox iOS
Datasource: https://www.mozdatacollective.com/chart/index/index/element/863/segment/1141/baseuco/1615/range_start/1430352000000/range_end/1541069033286.7134/uco/1614
Start Date: June 1, 2016
End Date: October 26, 2018
Data anomalies to remove: March 28, 2017 - May 2, 2017

Firefox Focus Android
Datasource: https://www.mozdatacollective.com/chart/index/index/element/863/segment/1226/baseuco/1614/range_start/1445039999999/range_end/1541379600001/uco/1617
Start Date: November 1, 2017
End Date: October 26, 2018
Data anomalies to remove: None

Firefox Focus iOS
Datasource: https://www.mozdatacollective.com/chart/index/index/element/863/segment/1227/baseuco/1614/range_start/1479652378161.2761/range_end/1500091200000/uco/1616
Start Date: April 1, 2017
End Date: October 26, 2018
Data anomalies to remove: October 20, 2017 - December 2, 2017